LYRICS
Increased frequency
Increased intensity
Normal extreme
Know what I mean?
Shifts in circulation
Exacerbated related
Dam damnation
Beyond what’s slated
Sea surface anomalies
See surface anomalies
Contribute overall
Records fall
Teleconnections
Distant resurrections
Add the chaos sauce
Hot coming across
Still, not so neutral
And so ENSO
That’s what we know
About the way things go
- New-Neutral-Part-I.mp3 (unplugged to save energy)
- New-Neutral-Part-II.mp3
- New-Neutral-Part-II-Instrumental.mp3
- New-Neutral-LH-Casio-WK-3500.MID (Left Hand / also controlled Korg PS60)
- New-Neutral-RH-Yamaha-PSR-740.MID (Right Hand / also controlled microKorg and miniNOVA vocorder)
Chords: Em G / A C / C E A / C A / E Em / G Em C B7 Em; Part II @ 125 Beats Per Minute
Instrumentation: Vocals (TC-Helicon VOICELIVE and MiniNova Vocorder), Ibanez Acoustic Guitar (AW54CE), Ibanez Electric RG-270 (Vox ToneLab and Boss Digital Delay), Fender Jazz Bass (Boss Digital Delay), Keyboards (Korg PS60, Casio WK-3500, Yamaha PSR-740, MiniNova, MicroKorg)
ABOUT THE SONG
This song delves into the complexities of ENSO-neutral conditions, highlighting various factors contributing to its dynamic nature. The lyrics touch on increased frequency and intensity of events, suggesting a departure from the norm. Shifts in atmospheric circulation and related phenomena are portrayed as exacerbating existing conditions, leading to outcomes beyond what was anticipated or planned. Sea surface anomalies are mentioned as significant contributors to the overall scenario, with records being broken as a result. The concept of teleconnections, or distant interactions, is introduced, suggesting the interconnectedness of events across different regions. Despite the term “neutral” in ENSO-neutral, the song implies that these conditions are anything but neutral, underscoring the unpredictability and complexity inherent in the ENSO phenomenon.
ABOUT THE SCIENCE
ENSO-neutral refers to a phase in the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle when neither El Niño nor La Niña conditions are present in the tropical Pacific Ocean. Climate change can influence ENSO-neutral conditions in several ways:
- Increased Frequency and Intensity of Extremes: Climate change can lead to more frequent and intense weather extremes, such as heatwaves, droughts, and heavy rainfall events, even during ENSO-neutral periods. These extremes can occur independently of El Niño or La Niña events and may be exacerbated by rising global temperatures.
- Shifts in Atmospheric Circulation Patterns: Climate change can alter atmospheric circulation patterns globally, affecting the behavior of the jet stream and other large-scale wind patterns. These changes can influence the onset, strength, and duration of ENSO-neutral conditions and may lead to shifts in regional weather patterns.
- Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies: While ENSO-neutral conditions are characterized by near-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the tropical Pacific, climate change can contribute to overall warming of ocean waters. This background warming may influence the baseline SSTs during ENSO-neutral periods and can potentially impact weather patterns and ocean circulation.
- Teleconnections: Climate change can modify teleconnections, which are large-scale atmospheric linkages that connect distant regions of the globe. These teleconnections play a significant role in shaping weather and climate patterns during ENSO-neutral periods. Changes in teleconnections may alter the impacts of ENSO-neutral conditions on weather and climate variability in different regions.
Overall, while ENSO-neutral conditions may not directly result from climate change, the broader changes occurring in the climate system can influence the characteristics and impacts of these neutral periods. Understanding these interactions is essential for improving our ability to predict and adapt to future climate variability and extremes.
Atmosphere-Soil-Ocean Coupling:
- Teleconnections:
- Chaos theory recognizes the concept of teleconnections, where seemingly unrelated events in one part of the Earth system influence conditions in another. For instance, changes in sea surface temperatures (linked to ocean dynamics) can affect atmospheric circulation patterns, leading to variations in precipitation and temperature on land.
- Climate Variability:
- The complex interactions between soil, atmosphere, and oceans contribute to climate variability. Chaos theory helps to understand the sensitivity of the climate system to initial conditions and how small perturbations in one component can lead to significant and sometimes unpredictable outcomes.
Human-induced climate change is a dynamic component of an intricate and unordered system, as per chaos theory. This implies that global warming is accelerating exponentially in a complex manner. Over the period from 1992 to 2023, we have presented compelling evidence, proposed remedies to mitigate climate change, and amassed valuable information through the engagement of millions with this climate model. Your participation has been invaluable. The incontrovertible data underscores that human-induced climate change is rapidly deteriorating our habitat.
Our climate model / experiment employs chaos theory to comprehensively consider human impacts and projects a potential global average temperature increase of 9℃ above pre-industrial levels. Global warming is a consequence of elevated thermal energy in the climate system, which comprises various subsystems. Chaos theory underscores the intricate and nonlinear nature of dynamic systems. Human well-being is compromised above a 1.5-degree temperature rise, rendering much of the Earth uninhabitable. A 9-degree Celsius increase would bring the Earth close to a wet-bulb temperature incapable of sustaining human life.
What Can I Do? There are numerous actions you can take to contribute to saving the planet. Each person bears the responsibility to minimize pollution, discontinue the use of fossil fuels, reduce consumption, and foster a culture of love and care. The Butterfly Effect illustrates that a small change in one area can lead to significant alterations in conditions anywhere on the globe. Hence, the frequently heard statement that a fluttering butterfly in China can cause a hurricane in the Atlantic. Be a butterfly and affect the world.
Here is a list of additional actions you can take.