Off the Beaten Path

Off-the-Beaten-Path-0.mp3
Off-the-Beaten-Path-0.mp4
Off-the-Beaten-Path-I.mp3
Off-the-Beaten-Path-I.mp4
Off-the-Beaten-Path-intro.mp3

[Intro]
(Off the beaten path)
Headed for the ledge
(Going to take a bath)
Somewhere….

[Bridge]
Over the edge
[Instrumental, Guitar Solo]
(You know…)
Like the buffalo

[Verse 1]
Startled
Stampeded
Rattled
Proceeded

[Chorus]
(Off the beaten path)
Headed for the ledge
(Going to take a bath)
Somewhere….

[Bridge]
Over the edge
(You know…)
Like the buffalo

[Verse 2]
Alarmed
All harmed
Too late
To debate

[Chorus]
(Off the beaten path)
Headed for the ledge
(Going to take a bath)
Somewhere….

[Bridge]
Over the edge
(You know…)
Like the buffalo

[Chorus]
(Off the beaten path)
Headed for the ledge
(Going to take a bath)
Somewhere….

[Outro]
Over the edge
(You know…)
Like the buffalo

From the album “Deviation

The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

Posted in Daniel, lyrics | Tagged | Comments closed

Sooner or Later?

Sooner-or-Later-0.mp3
Sooner-or-Later-0.mp4
Sooner-or-Later-I.mp3
Sooner-or-Later-I.mp4
Sooner-or-Later-intro.mp3

[Intro]
Will damage come
(Sooner or later?)
We’ve come undone
(The eliminator)

[Verse 1]
The models
Are untested
Nothing jells
Economy arrest4ed

[Chorus]
Will damage come
(Sooner or later)
We’ve come undone
(The eliminator)

[Bridge]
Run!
(It’s the Service, Stupid)
Can’t believe you did what you did
(Fundamental misconception)
Ain’t no fun in misrepresentations
(Devastation!)

[Verse 2]
The jobs with pay
Didn’t go away
It’s just the way
We chose to play

[Chorus]
Will damage come
(Sooner or later)
We’ve come undone
(The eliminator)

[Bridge]
Run!
(It’s the Service, Stupid)
Can’t believe you did what you did
(Fundamental misconception)
Ain’t no fun in misrepresentations
(Devastation!)

[Chorus]
Will damage come
(Sooner or later)
We’ve come undone
(The eliminator)

[Outro]
Run!

ABOUT THE SONG: — It’s the Service, Stupid: Understanding the Real U.S. Economy

One of the most fundamental misconceptions of Trumpenomics is the belief that the United States is—or should be—a manufacturing-first economy. In reality, the U.S. has evolved into a service-based powerhouse and is now the world’s largest exporter of services, including finance, healthcare, education, software, intellectual property, and other knowledge-driven industries.

This misunderstanding leads to flawed policies, especially regarding trade and tariffs. By focusing solely on manufacturing, Donald Trump’s economic rhetoric and calculations ignore the true engine of American growth: its service sector. Consequently, trade deficits and labor dynamics are misrepresented, giving the public a distorted view of global economic relationships.

Moreover, the claim that American jobs have been “shipped overseas” doesn’t stand up to scrutiny. The vast majority of high-paying jobs in the U.S.—from tech and logistics to finance and retail—were never exported. Companies like Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Apple, Nvidia, Tesla, and Walmart generate millions of high-wage, service-based and technology-driven jobs that never originated as U.S. manufacturing positions in the first place. These firms pay some of the highest wages in the country, often without union representation, and their core operations remain solidly domestic.

Many of these companies outsource some manufacturing to countries with a comparative advantage—not to “steal” American jobs, but because the U.S. never had a competitive edge in those areas to begin with. Attempting to resurrect those jobs now through protectionist measures only undermines U.S. competitiveness and innovation.

Labor policy should be forward-facing. The labor movement must pivot from defending obsolete jobs to championing education, reskilling, and innovation. As with the buggy whip—once essential, now archaic—progress depends on adaptation, not nostalgia.

The truth is clear: America’s economic future lies not in reindustrialization, but in continuing to lead the global service economy. Failing to recognize this does more than hurt economic efficiency—it risks steering the nation backward just when it needs to charge forward. By eroding global confidence in the U.S. as a reliable trading partner, Trump risks permanently weakening the dollar and undermining America’s ability to finance its debt at sustainable levels.

Trumpenomics: The Decline of the US

 

From the album “Deviation

The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

Posted in 4D Music, Daniel, lyrics | Tagged | Comments closed

Deviant

Deviant-0.mp3
Deviant-0.mp4
Deviant-I.mp3
Deviant-I.mp4
Deviant-intro.mp3

[Intro]
(E gadz!)
The deviant’s deviation
(Gone mad, gone bad)
Decline of civilization

[Verse 1]
The president
Needs revoked of residence
Quite evident
Explode and erode

[Chorus]
(E gadz!)
The deviant’s deviation
(Gone mad, gone bad)
Decline of civilization

[Bridge]
(After all…)
Watch us fall
(Once the first)
Now we thirst

[Verse 2]
Our leader —
Economy bleeder
Taking our whole
Down his rabbit hole

[Chorus]
(E gadz!)
The deviant’s deviation
(Gone mad, gone bad)
Decline of civilization

[Bridge]
(After all…)
Watch us fall
(Once the first)
Now we thirst

[Outro]
(E gadz!)
The deviant’s deviation
(Gone mad, gone bad)
Decline of civilization

ABOUT THE SONG

Song of the Day: “Deviant”
The industrial age meets its industrial anthem.

Today’s Song of the Day is “Deviant”, an industrial-influenced protest track that serves as a raw and gritty soundtrack to the unraveling of the American economy in real time. With distorted guitar riffs, emotionally charged vocals, and razor-sharp lyrics, the track captures the chaos and disillusionment of the modern era—particularly under President Trump’s second term.

The song’s lyrics are direct and unflinching, portraying a “deviant’s deviation” from economic stability and democratic norms. Each verse exposes the damage done: a president whose leadership erodes the pillars of governance, a populace left to thirst for accountability, and a country tumbling down a rabbit hole of failed economic policy. The haunting choruses and raw instrumentation mirror the volatility of our current moment — one defined by fractured markets, frayed alliances, and fading confidence in American leadership.

But “Deviant” is more than just metaphor — it’s grounded in harsh economic reality:

  • $6.6 Trillion in market value erased within two days in April 2025.

  • Recession odds now at 45%, the highest since late 2023.

  • S&P 500 down 12%, and consumer confidence lower than during the Great Recession.

  • GDP projected to shrink by 0.3%, marking a sharp economic reversal.

  • 80% of fund managers cite Trump’s trade war as the top global risk.

As the chorus warns — “Gone mad, gone bad” — Deviant offers a visceral, lyrical echo of a nation in economic freefall, revealing the soundtrack of a civilization on the brink.

Let the distortion speak.
Let the numbers resonate.
Let the music document history.

 

The Details
This song is a powerful protest piece that uses vivid language and sharp imagery to critique the economic and political damage caused by Trump’s policies. It portrays Trump as a destabilizing force—“the deviant’s deviation”—whose leadership has eroded both the economy and America’s global standing. References to a declining civilization, economic thirst, and a fall from being “once the first” suggest a loss of prosperity and moral direction. The instrumental solos reinforce a sense of chaos and unraveling, evoking the emotional and structural breakdown of society under reckless leadership.

Since the beginning of President Donald Trump’s second term in January 2025, the U.S. economy has experienced several significant deviations from historical norms, particularly in response to aggressive tariff policies and escalating trade tensions. These deviations have manifested across various economic indicators, including stock market performance, investor sentiment, GDP growth projections, and consumer confidence.

1. Record-Breaking Stock Market Declines

In early April 2025, the U.S. stock market suffered its most substantial two-day loss in history. The Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeted over 4,000 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite each declined by approximately 10% and 11%, respectively. This unprecedented drop erased over $6.6 trillion in market value, surpassing the volatility seen during the COVID-19 pandemic. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), often referred to as “Wall Street’s fear gauge,” spiked to 45.31, its highest level since 2020.

2. Surge in Recession Probabilities

Economists have raised the probability of a U.S. recession within the next year to 45%, the highest estimate since December 2023. This increase is largely attributed to the economic impact of new tariffs and the resultant slowdown in business investment and consumer spending.

3. Decline in Investor Confidence

Investor sentiment has reached its most pessimistic level in three decades, with 80% of fund managers identifying the trade war as the primary risk to markets. This sentiment has contributed to significant market volatility and a 12% decline in the S&P 500 from its February peak.

4. Sharp Drop in Consumer Confidence

Consumer confidence has declined sharply, reaching levels lower than those observed during the Great Recession and the COVID-19 pandemic. This downturn reflects growing concerns about inflation, job security, and the broader economic outlook amid ongoing trade disputes.Vox

5. Contraction in GDP Growth

The U.S. economy is showing signs of contraction, with the Atlanta Federal Reserve projecting a 0.3% decline in GDP for the first quarter of 2025. This projection marks a significant reversal from the 4% growth observed in the previous quarter and underscores the economic strain resulting from recent trade policies.

These developments indicate that the U.S. economy is experiencing significant stress under the current administration’s trade policies. The combination of market volatility, declining confidence, and slowing growth suggests a need for careful monitoring and potential policy adjustments to mitigate further economic disruption.

Trumpenomics: The Decline of the US

From the album “Deviation

The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

Posted in Daniel, lyrics | Tagged | Comments closed

Big Flows

Big-Flows-0.mp3
Big-Flows-0.mp4
Big-Flows-I.mp3
Big-Flows-I.mp4
Big-Flows-II.mp3
Big-Flows-II.mp4
Big-Flows-Reggae.mp3
Big-Flows-Reggae.mp4
Big-Flows-intro.mp3

[Intro]
Less abundant reserves
The engine veers and swerves
There she goes
(The big flows)

[Bridge]
Don’t you know
(Low, low, low)

[Verse 1]
Tidal waves of cash
Watch the flow go
Hate to dine and dash
But, well… (you know)

[Chorus]
Less abundant reserves
The engine veers and swerves
There she goes
(The big flows)

[Bridge]
Resources
(Reverse courses)
Cracked our safe
(Smacked our face)
Don’t you know
(Low, low, low)

[Verse 2]
The tide’s going low
Watch the cash flow
Really hard to know
How low she’ll go….

[Chorus]
Less abundant reserves
The engine veers and swerves
There she goes
(The big flows)

[Bridge]
Resources
(Reverse courses)
Cracked our safe
(Smacked our face)
Don’t you know
(Low, low, low)

[Outro]
There she goes
(The big flows)
Don’t you know
(Low, low, low)

ABOUT THE SONG
Cracked Safe Haven: Historic Deviations in U.S. Treasury Bonds

Exceeding a standard deviation means that a data point is significantly different from the average — a statistical red flag.

In finance or economics:

  • A move of 1 standard deviation is unusual but not rare.

  • 2 or more indicates extreme behavior — often signaling stress, instability, or systemic change.

When U.S. Treasury bonds — historically the world’s most stable asset — move multiple standard deviations, it’s not just noise. It suggests deep structural shifts in fiscal policy, market confidence, or macroeconomic expectations.

U.S. Treasury bonds — especially long-duration ones like the 10-year and 30-year Treasuries — have recently deviated by multiple standard deviations from historical norms in several key dimensions.

Why It Matters

  • Bonds are usually the “safe haven” — but now they’re chaotic, cracked, and misaligned.

  • This upends traditional risk models used by banks, pensions, and governments.

  • It’s also a signal of fiscal fragility — markets demanding higher compensation for lending to the U.S.

The Big Question: What If the Dollar Loses Its Reserve Status?

Ultimately, the darkest scenario is no longer unthinkable: What happens if the U.S. dollar loses its status as the world’s reserve currency?

This would unleash a profound economic reset, marked by:

  • Exploding U.S. borrowing costs

  • A collapse in consumer purchasing power

  • Global capital flight from U.S. assets

  • Severe contraction in both trade and credit

  • Domestic political and economic instability unlike anything in modern history

Conclusion: We Are In the Experiment Now

From the album “Deviation

Also found on the album “Reggae Spray

The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

Posted in Daniel, lyrics, Narley Marley | Tagged , | Comments closed

Most Unusual

Most-Unusual-I.mp3
Most-Unusual-I.mp4
Most-Unusual-II.mp3
Most-Unusual-II.mp4
Most-Unusual-intro.mp3

[Intro]
Usually
It wouldn’t bother me
But, you see…

[Bridge]
This is most unusual
No longer casual
(In the intensity of volatility)

[Verse 1]
Just when I thought
I’d seen it all
Bring on the wrought
Stumble and fall

[Chorus]
Normally
I wouldn’t beg or plea
Usually
It wouldn’t bother me
But, you see…

[Bridge]
This is most unusual
No longer casual
(In the intensity of volatility)

[Verse 2]
After all the years
The tears and fears
How could it get any worse…
… but of course!

[Chorus]
Normally
I wouldn’t beg or plea
Usually
It wouldn’t bother me
But, you see…

[Bridge]
This is most unusual
No longer casual
(In the intensity of volatility)

[Outro]
Usually
It wouldn’t bother me
But, you see…

From the album “Deviation

The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

Posted in Daniel, lyrics | Tagged | Comments closed

She’s Strange

Shes-Strange-0.mp3
Shes-Strange-0.mp4
Shes-Strange-I.mp3
Shes-Strange-I.mp4
Shes-Strange-intro.mp3

[Intro]
She’s strange
(Out of the ordinary)
So strange
(A beauty contrary)

[Verse 1]
In the days
Of abnormality
So many ways
Lost ability

[Bridge]
In search of solutions
To reach soul-utions

[Chorus]
She’s strange
(Out of the ordinary)
So strange
(A beauty contrary)

[Verse 2]
In the days
Of so many parting ways
Can we get together
To weather the weather

[Bridge]
In search of solutions
To reach soul-utions

[Chorus]
She’s strange
(Out of the ordinary)
So strange
(A beauty contrary)

[Outro]
In search of solutions
To reach soul-utions

From the album “Deviation

The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

Posted in Daniel, lyrics | Tagged | Comments closed

Bond (Shaken not Stirred)

Bond__Shaken-Not-Stirred-0.mp3
Bond__Shaken-Not-Stirred-0.mp4
Bond__Shaken-Not-Stirred-I.mp3
Bond__Shaken-Not-Stirred-I.mp4
BBond__Shaken-Not-Stirred-intro.mp3

[Intro]
James, Bond… Shaken
(Not stirred)
Odds taken
Loss incurred

[Verse 1]
Standard deviation
(Situation)
Extreme behavior
(Needs a savior)

[Chorus]
James, Bond… Shaken
(Not stirred)
Odds taken
(Loss incurred)

[Bridge]
There ain’t no heaven
In our safe haven
Fiscal fragility
Degraded ability

[Verse 2]
Chaotic, cracked, and misaligned
Should have read the warning signs
The rate of risk extremely brisk
Yield inversion invasion

[Chorus]
James, Bond… Shaken
(Not stirred)
Odds taken
(Loss incurred)

[Bridge]
There ain’t no heaven
In our safe haven
Fiscal fragility
Degraded ability

[Outro]
Bond, James… Shaken
(Lines blurred)
Odds taken
(Loss incurred)

ABOUT THE SONG
Exceeding a standard deviation means that a data point is significantly different from the average — a statistical red flag.

In finance or economics:

  • A move of 1 standard deviation is unusual but not rare.

  • 2 or more indicates extreme behavior — often signaling stress, instability, or systemic change.

When U.S. Treasury bonds — historically the world’s most stable asset — move multiple standard deviations, it’s not just noise. It suggests deep structural shifts in fiscal policy, market confidence, or macroeconomic expectations.

U.S. Treasury bonds — especially long-duration ones like the 10-year and 30-year Treasuries — have recently deviated by multiple standard deviations from historical norms in several key dimensions.

1. Yields Have Spiked Over 3 Standard Deviations Above the Mean

2. Price Declines = Largest in Modern History

3. Volatility (MOVE Index) Spiked Over 2–3 SD Above Normal

4. Inversion of the Yield Curve: Deep and Prolonged

Why It Matters

  • Bonds are usually the “safe haven” — but now they’re chaotic, cracked, and misaligned.

  • This upends traditional risk models used by banks, pensions, and governments.

  • It’s also a signal of fiscal fragility — markets demanding higher compensation for lending to the U.S.

The Big Question: What If the Dollar Loses Its Reserve Status?

Ultimately, the darkest scenario is no longer unthinkable: What happens if the U.S. dollar loses its status as the world’s reserve currency?

This would unleash a profound economic reset, marked by:

  • Exploding U.S. borrowing costs

  • A collapse in consumer purchasing power

  • Global capital flight from U.S. assets

  • Severe contraction in both trade and credit

  • Domestic political and economic instability unlike anything in modern history

Conclusion: We Are In the Experiment Now

From the album “Deviation

The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

Posted in chaos theory, Daniel, lyrics | Tagged | Comments closed

My Friend

My-Friend-0.mp3
My-Friend-0.mp4
My-Friend-I.mp3
My-Friend-I.mp4
My-Friend-intro.mp3

[Intro]
My friend,
What do you recommend
(In The End?)

[Bridge]
Can we append
(The message that we send?)

[Verse 1]
Desolation boulevard
The times grow hard
All the years of fake
(And take, take, take)

[Chorus]
My friend,
What do you recommend
(In The End?)
As we see…
Self-inflicted destiny (reality)

[Bridge]
Can we append
(The message that we send?)

[Verse 2]
In retrospect….
What the heck?
We forgot to live
(Is to give, give, give)

[Chorus]
My friend,
What do you recommend
(In The End?)
As we see…
Self-inflicted destiny (reality)

[Bridge]
Can we append
(The message that we send?)

[Chorus]
My friend,
What do you recommend
(In The End?)
As we see…
Self-inflicted destiny (reality)

[Outro]
Can we upend
(The message that we send?)

From the album “Deviation

The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

Posted in Daniel, lyrics | Tagged | Comments closed

Strength of the Dollar

Strength-of-the-Dollar-0.mp3
Strength-of-the-Dollar-0.mp4
Strength-of-the-Dollar-I.mp3
Strength-of-the-Dollar-I.mp4
Strength-of-the-Dollar-intro.mp3

[Intro]
Is the dollar going down
(Down, down, down)

[Bridge]
Just look around

[Verse 1]
Foreign exchange
Been getting strange
Tryin’ to make sense
Of dollars and cents

[Chorus]
The capital flight
(Is in sight)
Is the dollar going down
(Down, down, down)

[Bridge]
Just look around

[Verse 2]
Things are getting funny
With all our money
The president
Sold us for rent

[Chorus]
The capital flight
(Is in sight)
Is the dollar going down
(Down, down, down)

[Bridge]
Just look around

[Chorus]
The capital flight
(Is in sight)
Is the dollar going down
(Down, down, down)

[Outro]
Is the dollar going down
(Down, down, down)
Just look around

A SCIENCE NOTE

The U.S. dollar (USD) has recently moved more than one standard deviation away from its historical norm in several important ways — particularly in real value, global dominance, and volatility. Here’s how:

1. Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER)

The REER, which adjusts the dollar for inflation and trade weights, has been:

  • >1 standard deviation above its 20- or 30-year average multiple times since 2022.

  • Driven by aggressive Fed rate hikes, global demand for dollar safety, and geopolitical instability.

 A stronger dollar sounds good, but it hurts exports, destabilizes emerging markets, and increases global debt burdens.

2. Overconcentration in Global Reserves

  • The USD still makes up ~60% of global central bank reserves.

  • But there’s now a statistically abnormal divergence between:

    • Dollar usage in reserves/trade (still dominant).

    • And alternative systems rising fast (e.g., China’s yuan in BRICS, digital currencies, barter systems).

This mismatch reflects a cracked monetary fractal — a fragile dominance built on inertia, not fundamentals.

3. Purchasing Power Decline

  • The real purchasing power of the dollar (adjusted for inflation) has fallen more than 1.5 standard deviations below its 20th-century trendline.

  • Traced to:

    • COVID-era fiscal/monetary stimulus,

    • Post-2020 inflation spike,

    • Wage stagnation vs. consumer costs.

4. Dollar Volatility and Financial Stress

  • USD volatility, measured via DXY (Dollar Index) and options implied volatility, has spiked to levels well above 1 SD from baseline during:

    • Fed rate shocks,

    • Banking scares (e.g., SVB collapse),

    • Geopolitical tensions (Ukraine, Middle East).

 Summary

The U.S. dollar is now behaving outside its historical statistical bounds:

Metric Status Std. Dev. Context
Real Exchange Rate (REER) Above historical norm > +1 SD
Purchasing Power Below long-term trend ~–1.5 SD
Global Reserve Share vs Use Growing divergence Structural imbalance
Volatility (DXY, VIX) Spiked in stress periods Often > +1 SD

From the album “Deviation

The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

Posted in Daniel, lyrics | Tagged | Comments closed

Askew

Askew-0.mp3
Askew-0.mp4
Askew-I.mp3
Askew-I.mp4
Askew-II.mp3
Askew-II.mp4
Askew-III.mp3
Askew-III.mp4
Askew-intro.mp3

[Intro]
Like a speedometer (Our barometer)
With a broken needle (Going fetal)
Barreling toward a cliff (Societal riff)
Can we pull through?

[Bridge]
All’s askew
(What cha gonna do?)

[Verse 1]
Underestimate
Acceleration rate
Ignore some more
Will we endure

[Chorus]
Like a speedometer (Our barometer)
With a broken needle (Going fetal)
Barreling toward a cliff (Societal riff)
Can we pull through?

[Bridge]
All’s askew
(What cha gonna do?)

[Verse 2]
Conceal damage
Of our age
Flukes born
Now the norm

[Chorus]
Like a speedometer (Our barometer)
With a broken needle (Going fetal)
Barreling toward a cliff (Societal riff)
Can we pull through?

[Bridge]
All’s askew
(What cha gonna do?)

[Chorus]
Like a speedometer (Our barometer)
With a broken needle (Going fetal)
Barreling toward a cliff (Societal riff)
Can we pull through?

[Outro]
All’s askew
(What cha gonna do?)

A SCIENCE NOTE

What’s askew in the statistics of the climate crisis? Quite a bit — and in deep, structural ways. Here’s a breakdown of how the data is distorted, lagging, or misused, which makes it hard to grasp the true scope of the emergency:

1. Underreporting and Lag Effects

  • Climate damage is cumulative and delayed. Today’s emissions won’t show full impact for decades.

  • Official stats often exclude long-term costs (e.g. ocean acidification, permafrost methane release).

  • Metrics like GDP count disaster rebuilding as economic growth, masking real damage.

2. Fat Tails Ignored

  • Climate risk has “fat tails” — meaning extreme events are more likely than normal models assume.

  • But governments often use linear projections or normal distributions, downplaying worst-case scenarios.

  • This creates a false sense of security.

3. Local Extremes Hidden by Averages

  • Global temperature averages blur local devastation.

    • Example: A 1.5°C rise globally might mean 5°C+ in the Arctic.

  • Rainfall data is averaged, masking flash floods, drought clusters, or weather whiplash.

4. Standard Deviations Are Now Norms

  • What used to be 3-sigma (once-in-a-century) weather is now common — but the framing hasn’t caught up.

  • Insurance models, infrastructure codes, and risk planning are still based on outdated “normal” weather data.

 5. Externalities and Hidden Costs

  • Fossil fuels appear “cheap” only because their climate costs are off the books.

  • U.S. subsidies and military spending to secure fossil energy aren’t counted as climate costs — a statistical blind spot.

Summary

The climate crisis is statistically askew because the tools we use:

  • Underestimate nonlinear risk.

  • Ignore delayed effects.

  • Conceal damage behind averages.

  • Treat outliers as flukes, when they’re becoming the norm.

It’s like using a speedometer with a broken needle while barreling toward a cliff.

From the album “Deviation

The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

Posted in 4D Music, chaos theory, Daniel, lyrics | Tagged , | Comments closed

Human Survivability Threshold

Human-Survivability-Threshold-0.mp3
Human-Survivability-Threshold-0.mp4
Human-Survivability-Threshold-I.mp3
Human-Survivability-Threshold-I.mp4
Human-Survivability-Threshold-intro.mp3

[Intro]
Human stupidity’s getting old
(We are reaching the limit)
Human survivability threshold
(When are we going to get it?)

[Verse 1]
The taxes in Texas
Rising with the tide
Should know what the mess is….
There’s nowhere to hide

[Chorus]
Human stupidity’s getting old
We are (reaching the limit)
Human survivability threshold
When are we (going to get it?)

[Bridge]
Deviations above the norms
(Bringing on extreme storms)
Got ourselves in a mess
(Due to fatal heat stress)

[Verse 2]
New Orleans and Baton Rouge
Getting hot at night
Marti Gras stooge
A bit late for fright

[Chorus]
Human stupidity’s getting old
We are (reaching the limit)
Human survivability threshold
When are we (going to get it?)

[Bridge]
Deviations above the norms
(Bringing on extreme storms)
Got ourselves in a mess
(Due to fatal heat stress)

[Chorus]
Human stupidity’s getting old
We are (reaching the limit)
Human survivability threshold
When are we (going to get it?)

[Outro]
Deviations above the norms
(Brings on… the foreboding storms)

A SCIENCE NOTE: WET-BULB TEMPERATURES

Wet-bulb temperatures above 31°C (87.8°F) are extremely dangerous — at these levels, the human body cannot cool itself through sweating, even in the shade, leading to potentially fatal heat stress within hours. While these thresholds have historically been rare outside the tropics, parts of the U.S. are have breached this limit — something that used to be considered virtually impossible in the U.S. climate.

Here are the U.S. regions most at risk and already showing wet-bulb temperatures exceeding 31°C or very close — often 2–3 standard deviations above historical norms:

 1. South Texas & Gulf Coast (Brownsville, Corpus Christi, Houston)

  • Already observed wet-bulb temperatures > 31°C, especially during heatwaves with high humidity and stagnant air.

  • This region is closest in climate to subtropical zones, with high Gulf moisture and intense solar heating.

  • Notable Event: July 2023 saw Brownsville record a wet-bulb of 31.2°C, nearing human survivability thresholds.

2. Louisiana, Mississippi & Coastal Alabama

  • High humidity from the Gulf + high temps create perfect storm conditions for wet-bulb extremes.

  • New Orleans and Baton Rouge have clocked wet-bulb temps around 30.5°C to 31.0°C in recent summers.

  • Trend: Average summer humidity and nighttime minimum temps have increased significantly since the 1980s.

3. Florida (Miami, Tampa, Fort Myers, and inland Everglades)

  • Very high baseline humidity and increasing urban heat island effects are pushing wet-bulb temps near critical thresholds.

  • Miami-Dade’s urban core can hit 30.5°C wet-bulb, with some inland areas (Everglades edge) hitting 31°C under stagnant conditions.

4. Mississippi River Valley & Midwest (in isolated events)

  • While not traditionally at risk, heat dome events have caused spikes in wet-bulb readings in Illinois, Missouri, and Iowa.

  • Wet-bulbs of 29.5°C–30.5°C were observed during July 2023 under extreme dew points (~80°F) and triple-digit heat.

5. Southwest Deserts (Phoenix, Las Vegas, Death Valley) — Dry Heat, but Changing

  • Typically hot but dry, these regions have avoided extreme wet-bulb temps historically.

  • However, monsoonal moisture and climate shifts are making 30°C+ wet-bulb temps more common — especially during nighttime heatwaves when humidity is trapped.

URGENT CLIMATE WARNING
Our latest climate model — now incorporating complex social-ecological feedback loops within a dynamic, non-linear system — projects that global temperatures could rise by up to 9°C (16.2°F) within this century. This far exceeds earlier estimates, which predicted a 4°C rise over the next thousand years, and signals a dramatic acceleration of warming.

At this level of heating, large regions of the planet will become uninhabitable due to extreme heat, sea level rise, agricultural collapse, and mass migration. Critically, parts of the U.S. are already experiencing wet-bulb temperatures approaching or exceeding 31°C (87.8°F) — a physiological limit beyond which the human body can no longer regulate its internal temperature, even in the shade with ample water.

From the album “Deviation

The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

Posted in 4D Music, chaos theory, Daniel, lyrics | Tagged , | Comments closed

Wet-Bulb

Wet-Bulb-0.mp3
Wet-Bulb-0.mp4
Wet-Bulb-I.mp3
Wet-Bulb-I.mp4
Wet-Bulb-intro.mp3

[Intro]
Wet-bulb
(Making my head throb)
Too hot
(Shaking what I’ve got)

[Verse 1]
Standard deviations
Above historical norms
No rationalization
Makes one wiggle and squirm

[Chorus]
Wet-bulb
(Making my head throb)
Too hot
(Shaking what I’ve got)

[Bridge]
Air’s getting too wet
(For my body to sweat)
Getting hard to stay alive
(Getting hard to survive)

[Verse 2]
Regions most at risk
South is losing wealth
Pace way too brisk
The coast is toast

[Chorus]
Wet-bulb
(Making my head throb)
Too hot
(Shaking what I’ve got)

[Bridge]
Air’s getting too wet
(For my body to sweat)
Getting hard to stay alive
(Getting hard to survive)

[Chorus]
Wet-bulb
(Making my head throb)
Too hot
(Shaking what I’ve got)

[Outro]
Lost the fight to thrive
(Can we even survive?)

A SCIENCE NOTE

Climate-related statistics that have surpassed 2 to 3 standard deviations from historical baselines, based on recent scientific data and insurance modeling. These deviations suggest we’re now operating outside the bounds of historical climate stability, with profound implications for ecosystems, economies, and public safety:

1. Global Average Temperature Anomalies

  • Recent records: July 2023 and July 2024 were the hottest months on record, with global mean temperatures more than 3 standard deviations above the 20th-century baseline.

  • NASA & NOAA data: The likelihood of seeing such extremes under “normal” pre-industrial variability is less than 0.3% per year — they are statistical outliers.

 2. North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs)

  • In 2023 and 2024, North Atlantic SSTs were up to 5 standard deviations above the 1982–2011 climatology during some summer months.

  • These anomalies contributed to hyperactive hurricane seasons and marine heatwaves, affecting fisheries and coral ecosystems.

3. Antarctic Sea Ice Extent

  • Antarctic sea ice extent in 2023 hit record lows, dipping over 5 standard deviations below the 1981–2010 average.

  • The chance of this being a random fluctuation is virtually nil — suggesting fundamental changes in Southern Hemisphere climate dynamics.

4. Hurricane Intensity and Rainfall

  • Hurricanes are now delivering 24% more rain on average than storms from the mid-20th century, with precipitation intensity in some cases 2–3 standard deviations above baseline.

  • The 2020 hurricane season had 30 named storms — double the long-term average, a deviation well outside normal bounds.

 5. Extreme Weather Frequency

  • The number of billion-dollar weather disasters in the U.S. has increased dramatically:

    • 2023 alone had 28 events, compared to a historical average of ~8/year — well over 2 standard deviations above normal.

  • Heatwaves, floods, and wildfires are now occurring with a frequency and intensity that models once treated as 1-in-100 or 1-in-500 year events.

 6. Ocean Heat Content (OHC)

  • Ocean heat content — a key driver of long-term climate change — is rising far beyond historical norms, with the top 2,000 meters of the ocean registering record-breaking heat 6 years in a row (2018–2023).

  • OHC is over 3 SDs above 1981–2010 average in some ocean basins.

7. Wildfire Burn Area (Canada, U.S., Australia)

  • In 2023, Canada alone burned 18 million hectaresnearly 8 standard deviations above its 40-year average.

  • The scale and frequency of megafires in western U.S. states and Australia have become statistical outliers in fire models.

8. Wet-Bulb Temperature Events

  • Regions like the Persian Gulf, South Asia, and parts of the U.S. are beginning to experience wet-bulb temperatures > 31°C, a 2–3 standard deviation shift from past extremes.

  • These events threaten human survivability and are pushing the limits of physiological heat tolerance.

The US

Wet-bulb temperatures above 31°C (87.8°F) are extremely dangerous — at these levels, the human body cannot cool itself through sweating, even in the shade, leading to potentially fatal heat stress within hours. While these thresholds have historically been rare outside the tropics, parts of the U.S. are now beginning to approach or breach this limit during extreme heat events — something that used to be considered virtually impossible in the U.S. climate.

Here are the U.S. regions most at risk and already showing wet-bulb temperatures exceeding 31°C or very close — often 2–3 standard deviations above historical norms:

1. South Texas & Gulf Coast (Brownsville, Corpus Christi, Houston)

  • Already observed wet-bulb temperatures > 31°C, especially during heatwaves with high humidity and stagnant air.

  • This region is closest in climate to subtropical zones, with high Gulf moisture and intense solar heating.

  • Notable Event: July 2023 saw Brownsville record a wet-bulb of 31.2°C, nearing human survivability thresholds.

 2. Louisiana, Mississippi & Coastal Alabama

  • High humidity from the Gulf + high temps create perfect storm conditions for wet-bulb extremes.

  • New Orleans and Baton Rouge have clocked wet-bulb temps around 30.5°C to 31.0°C in recent summers.

  • Trend: Average summer humidity and nighttime minimum temps have increased significantly since the 1980s.

 3. Florida (Miami, Tampa, Fort Myers, and inland Everglades)

  • Very high baseline humidity and increasing urban heat island effects are pushing wet-bulb temps near critical thresholds.

  • Miami-Dade’s urban core can hit 30.5°C wet-bulb, with some inland areas (Everglades edge) hitting 31°C under stagnant conditions.

 4. Mississippi River Valley & Midwest (in isolated events)

  • While not traditionally at risk, heat dome events have caused spikes in wet-bulb readings in Illinois, Missouri, and Iowa.

  • Wet-bulbs of 29.5°C–30.5°C were observed during July 2023 under extreme dew points (~80°F) and triple-digit heat.

5. Southwest Deserts (Phoenix, Las Vegas, Death Valley) — Dry Heat, but Changing

  • Typically hot but dry, these regions have avoided extreme wet-bulb temps historically.

  • However, monsoonal moisture and climate shifts are making 30°C+ wet-bulb temps more common — especially during nighttime heatwaves when humidity is trapped.

Implications

  • These conditions represent a major public health risk, especially for:

    • Outdoor workers

    • Elderly or chronically ill individuals

    • Households without air conditioning

  • Military bases, prisons, and low-income housing in these regions are at acute risk during these events.

From the album “Deviation

The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

Posted in 4D Music, Daniel, lyrics | Tagged , | Comments closed

Collapse of Capitalism

Collapse-of-Capitalism-I.mp3
Collapse-of-Capitalism-I.mp4
Collapse-of-Capitalism-II.mp3
Collapse-of-Capitalism-II.mp4
Collapse-of-Capitalism-intro.mp3

[Intro]
The collapse
(Of capitalism)
And perhaps
(Individualism)

[Verse 1]
The conceder leader
Giving in to the devil
Nation bleeder
Brings on the ill

[Chorus]
The collapse
(Of capitalism)
And perhaps
(Individualism)

[Bridge]
Deviant deviation
(Cracked fractal bill)
How long till….
(Devastation)

[Verse 2]
Commander salamander
Slithers in slime
Commits a crime
Greatest of all time

[Chorus]
The collapse
(Of capitalism)
And perhaps
(Individualism)

[Bridge]
Deviant deviation
(Cracked fractal bill)
How long till….
(Devastation)

[Chorus]
The collapse
(Of capitalism)
And perhaps
(Individualism)

[Outro]
Deviant deviation
(Cracked fractal bill)
How long till….
(Devastation)

A SCIENCE NOTE: Deviation, Cracked Fractals, Climate, and Economics

A “cracked glass” look and branching fractal, ties into deep ideas in chaos theory, fractals, and nonlinear dynamics. Financial crashes, neural breakdowns, and climate tipping points sometimes exhibit this “cracked” structure in models — suggesting a system under stress or near collapse.

Humanity stands at a historic crossroads where the accelerating pace of climate change threatens to overtake both our capacity for response and the viability of the global economic system itself. Recent models indicate that without immediate intervention, climate change could cause the collapse of capitalism as we know it–potentially as soon as 2050. At the same time, U.S. political developments–particularly Trump-era trade, fiscal, and environmental policies–may unintentionally hasten this collapse. The central question becomes: Will the U.S. economic system implode before climate change forces its hand, or has irreversible damage already been done?

Chaos theory deals with systems that are deterministic but highly sensitive to initial conditions — where tiny changes can lead to vastly different outcomes. This “butterfly effect” describes how once-stable systems can become chaotic.

Cracked fractals emerge near bifurcation points — thresholds beyond which the system evolves in an entirely new direction, often unpredictably. In climate systems, these bifurcations could be:

  • The sudden collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC),

  • Massive methane release from permafrost,

  • Shifts in the jet stream or monsoon patterns.

In the economy, these might manifest as:

  • Sudden dollar devaluation,

  • Foreign dumping of U.S. Treasury debt,

  • Collapse of consumer demand due to runaway inflation or debt.

* WARNING * — Our updated climate model, now integrating complex social-ecological factors as part of a dynamic and non-linear system, shows that global temperatures could rise by up to 9°C within this century — far beyond previous predictions of a 4°C rise over the next thousand years. This level of warming will render much of the world uninhabitable within this century.

From the album “Deviation

The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

Posted in 4D Music, chaos theory, Daniel, lyrics | Tagged , | Comments closed

Cracked Fractal

Cracked-Fractal-I.mp3
Cracked-Fractal-I.mp4
Cracked-Fractal-II.mp3
Cracked-Fractal-II.mp4
Cracked-Fractal-intro.mp3

[Intro]
Cracked fractal

Took a branch
(By chance)

[Bridge]
A system under stress (near collapse)
Under duress (synapse relapse)

[Verse 1]
And so we split apart
(Didn’t have the heart)
Dashed! A new start
(Spreading further apart)

[Bridge]
It seems our seems… are
(Our splitting afar)

[Chorus]
Cracked (fractal)
Took a branch
(By chance)
Cracked (factual)
Such a stance
(Dirge dance)

[Bridge]
A system under stress (near collapse)
Under duress (synapse relapse)

[Verse 2]
Rocked! My windshield
(Visions had to yield)
Smashed! Frozen heart
(Splintering further apart)

[Bridge]
It seems our seems… are
(Our splitting afar)

[Chorus]
Cracked (fractal)
Took a branch
(By chance)
Cracked (factual)
Such a stance
(Dirge dance)

[Outro]
A system under stress (near collapse)
Under duress (synapse relapse)

A SCIENCE NOTE: What’s a “Cracked” Fractal?

A “cracked glass” look and branching fractal, ties into deep ideas in chaos theory, fractals, and nonlinear dynamics.

Chaos Theory: The Basics

  • Chaos theory studies systems that appear random, but are actually deterministic and highly sensitive to initial conditions.

  • Small changes lead to vastly different outcomes — this is the “butterfly effect.”

Fractals in Chaos

  • A fractal is a self-similar geometric shape — it looks the same at different scales.

  • In chaotic systems, fractals often describe the “state space” — the map of all possible behaviors a system can take.

 What’s a “Cracked” Fractal?

A “cracked fractal” — especially one that looks like shattered glass with branching paths — often arises in systems where:

  1. The attractor is broken or unstable.

  2. Singularities (discontinuities, infinite gradients, or undefined regions) occur.

  3. The system is near a critical bifurcation point — where a qualitative change in behavior is about to happen.

This kind of structure typically shows up in:

🔹 1. Fractured Attractors / Broken Symmetries

  • Normally smooth chaotic attractors become fragmented when the system is pushed past a threshold.

  • You get fractal discontinuities where the structure literally “breaks apart” — like cracks.

🔹 2. Escape-Time Fractals

  • Generated by iterating a function (e.g., Mandelbrot set).

  • The “cracks” often represent boundaries between regions of vastly different behaviors.

  • Similar structures: Julia Sets, Burning Ship fractal, Newton fractals.

🔹 3. Bifurcation Diagrams

  • When zoomed in, the branches from a bifurcation tree can resemble shattered glass, especially near chaotic regimes.

🔹 4. Fractal Basin Boundaries

  • Imagine you’re dropping a ball into a landscape — depending on the tiniest change in the start point, the ball might roll into different valleys.

  • The dividing lines (basins of attraction) between outcomes can have extremely fine, cracked, branch-like boundaries — an expression of sensitive dependence.

 Mathematical Sources of the Cracked Fractal Form

  • Nonlinear complex functions — e.g., Newton’s method applied to complex roots.

  • Piecewise chaotic maps — systems that abruptly switch rules, causing fragmentation.

  • Singular perturbations — when small smoothing is removed, the system can “crack.”

 Real-World Analogies

  • Cracks in glass follow fractal patterns, especially under stress.

  • River networks and lightning bolts also exhibit branching fractals — reflecting energy dispersal through complex media.

  • Financial crashes, neural breakdowns, and climate tipping points sometimes exhibit this “cracked” structure in models — suggesting a system under stress or near collapse.

From the album “Deviation

The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

Posted in 4D Music, chaos theory, Daniel, lyrics | Tagged , | Comments closed

Deviation

Deviation-0.mp3
Deviation-0.mp4
Deviation-I.mp3
Deviation-I.mp4
Deviation-intro.mp3

[Intro]
Is your (Deviation)
Standard
(Man slandered)
Civilization

[Verse 1]
You call this civilized
Hopin’ you’d realized
We create deviate
In all we relate

[Bridge]
Time we pull through
We (me and you)

[Chorus]
Is our (Deviation)
Standard
(Man slandered)
Civilization
(Deviation)

[Bridge]
Devolution
Sour (solution)

[Verse 2]
You call this civilized
More dazed than surprised
We let our deviate
At an exponential rate

[Bridge]
Time we pull through
We (me and you)

[Chorus]
Is our (Deviation)
Standard
(Man slandered)
Civilization
(Deviation)

[Outro]
Devolution
Our sour (solution)
Our are

ABOUT THE SCIENCE

A standard deviation is a statistical measure that quantifies the amount of variation or dispersion in a set of values. In simple terms:

  • A low standard deviation means the values are close to the average (mean).

  • A high standard deviation means the values are spread out over a wider range.

It’s often used in economics and finance to measure risk, volatility, or abnormality in data like stock prices, inflation, or GDP growth.


Real-World Meaning of “Multiple Standard Deviations”

If a metric is “2 standard deviations above the mean,” it means it is significantly higher than usual — so much so that it happens only about 2.5% of the time in a normal distribution.


Current Examples (as of 2024-2025) of Economic/Financial Metrics Showing Multiple Standard Deviations

These examples reflect extreme, unusual, or risky conditions — either positive or negative.

1. Inflation Volatility (U.S.)

  • Core inflation variability has been 2–3 standard deviations higher than historical norms at times since 2021.

  • Caused by COVID shocks, war, supply chain issues, and erratic monetary policy.

2. Federal Deficit (as % of GDP)

  • In fiscal 2024, the U.S. deficit was close to 6%–7% of GDP, well above historical norms and more than 2 standard deviations from peacetime averages.

3. Home Prices vs. Median Income

  • Home price-to-income ratios in many U.S. cities (like San Francisco or Austin) are 2+ standard deviations above historic affordability measures.

  • Indicates housing bubbles or structural imbalance.

4. Stock Market Valuation (e.g., CAPE Ratio)

  • The Shiller CAPE ratio (cyclically adjusted PE) for the S&P 500 is well above long-term averages — often cited as 2–3 standard deviations above its historical mean.

  • Signals potential overvaluation or irrational exuberance.

5. Corporate Debt Levels

  • Non-financial corporate debt as a % of GDP has spiked in recent years — well above the mean, and possibly 2 SDs higher than pre-2008 norms.

6. Climate-related Economic Losses

  • Insured losses due to climate disasters (floods, fires, hurricanes) have become multiple standard deviations above the 1980s–2000s averages.

  • Insurance companies and reinsurers now treat some events as no longer “tail risk” but regular occurrences.

From the album “Deviation

The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

Posted in 4D Music, Change, Daniel, lyrics | Tagged , | Comments closed